TY - BOOK ID - 21741453 TI - Evaluation of the Shreveport predictive policing experiment AU - Hunt, Priscillia AU - Saunders, Jessica M AU - Hollywood, John S AU - Rand Corporation AU - Rand Safety and Justice (Program) AU - National Institute of Justice (U.S.) PY - 2014 SN - 0833089900 9780833089908 9780833086914 083308691X 9780833086914 PB - Santa Monica, Calif RAND Corporation DB - UniCat KW - Crime prevention KW - Offenses against property KW - Law enforcement KW - Police administration KW - Regression analysis KW - Forecasting KW - Social prediction KW - Social Welfare & Social Work KW - Social Sciences KW - Criminology, Penology & Juvenile Delinquency KW - Prevention KW - Statistical methods KW - Prediction, Social KW - Social forecasting KW - Sociological prediction KW - Forecasts KW - Futurology KW - Prediction KW - Analysis, Regression KW - Linear regression KW - Regression modeling KW - Police KW - Police management KW - Enforcement of law KW - Crimes against property KW - Crime KW - Prevention of crime KW - Administration KW - Management KW - Government policy KW - Sociology KW - Social indicators KW - Multivariate analysis KW - Structural equation modeling KW - Criminal justice, Administration of KW - Public safety KW - Policing UR - https://www.unicat.be/uniCat?func=search&query=sysid:21741453 AB - "Even though there is a growing interest in predictive policing, to date there have been few, if any, formal evaluations of these programs. This report documents an assessment of a predictive policing effort in Shreveport, Louisiana, in 2012, which was conducted to evaluate the crime reduction effects of policing guided by statistical predictions. RAND researchers led multiple interviews and focus groups with the Shreveport Police Department throughout the course of the trial to document the implementation of the statistical predictive and prevention models. In addition to a basic assessment of the process, the report shows the crime impacts and costs directly attributable to the strategy. It is hoped that this will provide a fuller picture for police departments considering if and how a predictive policing strategy should be adopted. There was no statistically significant change in property crime in the experimental districts that applied the predictive models compared with the control districts; therefore, overall, the intervention was deemed to have no effect. There are both statistical and substantive possibilities to explain this null effect. In addition, it is likely that the predictive policing program did not cost any more than the status quo."--"Abstract" on web page. ER -