TY - BOOK ID - 16190374 TI - Modeling terrorism risk to the air transportation system : an independent assessment of TSA's risk management analysis tool and associated methods AU - Morral, Andrew R. AU - Rand Corporation AU - RAND Homeland Security and Defense Center AU - National Defense Research Institute (U.S.) PY - 2012 SN - 0833079743 083307685X 9780833079749 9780833076854 PB - Santa Monica, California : RAND Corporation, DB - UniCat KW - Risk management KW - Terrorism KW - Aeronautics KW - Aeronautics, Commercial KW - Social Welfare & Social Work KW - Social Sciences KW - Criminology, Penology & Juvenile Delinquency KW - Mathematical models KW - Prevention KW - Evaluation KW - Safety measures KW - Security measures KW - Air service KW - Air transport KW - Air transportation industry KW - Air transportation system KW - Civil aeronautics KW - Civil aviation KW - Commercial aeronautics KW - Commercial aviation KW - Aerostation KW - Air navigation KW - Aviation KW - Communication and traffic KW - Aerodynamics KW - Airships KW - Astronautics KW - Balloons KW - Flight KW - Flying-machines KW - Insurance KW - Management KW - Mathematical models. KW - Prevention. KW - United States. KW - Rules and practice KW - Evaluation. KW - TSA UR - https://www.unicat.be/uniCat?func=search&query=sysid:16190374 AB - RAND evaluated a terrorism risk modeling tool developed by the Transportation Security Administration and Boeing to help guide program planning for aviation security. This tool, the Risk Management Analysis Tool, or RMAT, is used by TSA to estimate the terrorism risk-reduction benefits attributable to new and existing security programs, technologies, and procedures. RMAT simulates terrorist behavior and success in attacking vulnerabilities in the domestic commercial air transportation system, drawing on estimates of terrorist resources, capabilities, preferences, decision processes, intelligence collection, and operational planning. It describes how the layers of security protecting the air transportation system are likely to perform when confronted by more than 60 types of attacks, drawing on detailed blast and other physical modeling to understand the damage produced by different weapons and attacks, and calculating expected loss of life and the direct and indirect economic consequences of that damage. This report describes RAND's conclusions about the validity of RMAT for TSA's intended uses and its recommendations for how TSA should perform cost-benefit analyses of its security programs. ER -