TY - BOOK ID - 137034570 TI - Predicting World Bank Project Outcome Ratings AU - Geli, Patricia AU - Kraay, Aart AU - Nobakht, Hoveida PY - 2014 PB - Washington, D.C., The World Bank, DB - UniCat KW - Banks and Banking Reform KW - Communities & Human Settlements KW - Development Economics & Aid Effectiveness KW - Development Objective KW - Finance and Financial Sector Development KW - Housing & Human Habitats KW - IEG KW - Independent Evaluation Group KW - Investment Project Financing KW - Macroeconomics and Economic Growth KW - Poverty Monitoring & Analysis KW - Poverty Reduction KW - Predictive Performance KW - Project Outcome Ratings KW - Rural Development KW - Rural Portfolio Improvement UR - https://www.unicat.be/uniCat?func=search&query=sysid:137034570 AB - A number of recent studies have empirically documented links between characteristics of World Bank projects and their ultimate outcomes as evaluated by the World Bank's Independent Evaluation Group. This paper explores the in-sample and out-of-sample predictive performance of empirical models relating project outcomes to project characteristics observed early in the life of a project. Such models perform better than self-assessments of project performance provided by World Bank staff during the implementation of the project. These findings are applied to the problem of predicting eventual Independent Evaluation Group ratings for currently active projects in the World Bank's portfolio. ER -