TY - BOOK ID - 134953798 TI - Sovereign Defaults and Expropriations : Empirical Regularities AU - Eden, Maya AU - Kraay, Aart AU - Qian, Rong PY - 2012 PB - Washington, D.C., The World Bank, DB - UniCat KW - Bankruptcy and Resolution of Financial Distress KW - Debt Markets KW - Emerging Markets KW - Expropriations KW - External Debt KW - Foreign direct investment KW - Investment and Investment Climate KW - Macroeconomics and Economic Growth KW - Private creditors KW - Sovereign defaults KW - Sovereign theft UR - https://www.unicat.be/uniCat?func=search&query=sysid:134953798 AB - This paper uses a large cross-country dataset to empirically examine factors associated with sovereign defaults on external private creditors and expropriation of foreign direct investments in developing countries since the 1970s. In the long run, sovereign defaults and expropriations are likely to occur in the same countries. In the short run, however, these events are uncorrelated. Defaults are more likely to occur following periods of rapid debt accumulation, when growth is low, and in countries with weak policy performance, and defaults are not strongly persistent over time. In contrast, expropriations are not systematically related to the level of foreign direct investment, to growth, or to policy performance. Expropriations are however less likely under right-wing governments, and are strongly persistent over time. There is also little evidence that a history of recent defaults is associated with expropriations, and vice versa. The paper discusses the implications of these findings for models that emphasize retaliation as means for sustaining sovereign borrowing and foreign investment in equilibrium, as well as the implications for political risk insurance against the two types of events. ER -