TY - BOOK ID - 133733329 TI - Predicting Macroeconomic and Macrofinancial Stress in Low-Income Countries AU - Weisfeld, Hans. AU - de Carvalho Filho, Irineu. AU - Comelli, Fabio. AU - Giri, Rahul. AU - Hellwig, Klaus-Peter. AU - Huang, Chengyu. AU - Liu, Fei. PY - 2020 PB - Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, DB - UniCat KW - Business and Economics KW - Macroeconomics KW - Economics: General KW - International Economics KW - Financial Risk Management KW - Inflation KW - Banks and Banking KW - Forecasting and Other Model Applications KW - Monetary Policy KW - Financial Crises KW - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development KW - Business Fluctuations KW - Cycles KW - Price Level KW - Deflation KW - Financing Policy KW - Financial Risk and Risk Management KW - Capital and Ownership Structure KW - Value of Firms KW - Goodwill KW - Commodity Markets KW - Economic & financial crises & disasters KW - Economics of specific sectors KW - Financial crises KW - Economic sectors KW - Prices KW - Banking crises KW - Early warning systems KW - Commodity prices KW - Currency crises KW - Informal sector KW - Economics KW - Crisis management KW - Central African Republic UR - https://www.unicat.be/uniCat?func=search&query=sysid:133733329 AB - In recent years, Fund staff has prepared cross-country analyses of macroeconomic vulnerabilities in low-income countries, focusing on the risk of sharp declines in economic growth and of debt distress. We discuss routes to broadening this focus by adding several macroeconomic and macrofinancial vulnerability concepts. The associated early warning systems draw on advances in predictive modeling. ER -