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This paper builds a novel database on the effects of macroprudential policy drawing from 58 empirical studies, comprising over 6,000 results on a wide range of instruments and outcome variables. It encompasses information on statistical significance, standardized magnitudes, and other characteristics of the estimates. Using meta-analysis techniques, the paper estimates average effects to find i) statistically significant effects on credit, but with considerable heterogeneity across instruments; ii) weaker and more imprecise effects on house prices; iii) quantitatively stronger effects in emerging markets and among studies using micro-level data; and iii) statistically significant evidence of leakages and spillovers. Other findings include relatively stronger impacts for tightening than loosening actions and negative effects on economic activity in the near term.
Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Real Estate --- Financial Aspects of Economic Integration --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Housing Supply and Markets --- Monetary economics --- Property & real estate --- Macroprudential policy --- Macroprudential policy instruments --- Credit --- Consumer credit --- Housing prices --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Money --- Prices --- Economic policy --- Housing --- Greenland
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A dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model tailored to the Thai economy is used to explore the performance of alternative monetary and macroprudential policy rules when faced with shocks that directly impact the financial cycle. In this context, the model shows that a monetary policy focused on its traditional inflation and output objectives accompanied by a well targeted counter-cyclical macroprudential policy yields better macroeconomic outcomes than a lean-against-the-wind monetary policy rule under a wide range of assumptions.
Finance: General --- Inflation --- Infrastructure --- Macroeconomics --- General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis --- Housing --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Finance --- Macroprudential policy instruments --- Macroprudential policy --- Financial sector stability --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- National accounts --- Prices --- Economic policy --- Financial services industry --- Saving and investment --- Thailand
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This study analyzes the drivers of the use of formal vs. informal financial services in emerging and developing countries using the 2017 Global FINDEX data. In particular, we investigate whether individuals’ choice of financial services correlates with macro-financial and macro-structural policies and conditions, in addition to individual and country characteristics. We start our analysis on middle and low-income countries, and then zoom in on sub-Saharan Africa, currently the region that most relies on informal financial services, and which has the largest uptake of mobile banking. We find robust evidence of an association between macroprudential policies and individuals’ choice of financial access after controlling for personal and country-level characteristics. In particular, macroprudential policies aimed at controlling credit supply seem to be associated with greater resort to informal financial services compared with formal, bank-based access. This highlights the importance for central bankers and financial sector regulators to consider the potential spillovers of monetary policy and financial stability measures on financial inclusion.
Finance: General --- Macroeconomics --- Industries: Financial Services --- Personal Finance --- Informal Economy --- Underground Econom --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Monetary Policy --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Finance --- Computer applications in industry & technology --- Financial services --- Financial inclusion --- Mobile banking --- Macroprudential policy --- Macroprudential policy instruments --- Financial markets --- Technology --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Financial services industry --- Economic policy --- Banks and banking, Mobile --- Kenya
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While Norway’s institutional arrangement for macroprudential policy is uncommon, the authorities have shown strong willingness to act. The Ministry of Finance (MoF) is the sole macroprudential decision-maker in Norway, which is rare in international comparison. However, Norges Bank and the Finanstilsynet (FSA) play important advisory roles. In recent years, the authorities have taken substantive and wide-ranging macroprudential policy actions in response to growing systemic vulnerabilities—and these seem to have been effective in slowing down some of the riskier trends. The macroprudential policy toolkit is well stocked and actively used.
Mortgages. --- Mortgage loans. --- Asset requirements --- Banking --- Banks and Banking --- Banks and banking --- Banks --- Countercyclical capital buffers --- Depository Institutions --- Economic policy --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Financial institutions --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Financial regulation and supervision --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Financial sector stability --- Financial services industry --- Financial services law & regulation --- Financial stability assessment --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Industries: Financial Services --- Macroeconomics --- Macroprudential policy instruments --- Macroprudential policy --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Norway
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Past experience with financial crises places systemic risk oversight at the core of Korea’s approach to the financial system. The Korean authorities have amassed over a decade of experience with macroprudential policies. They have put in place rigorous and sophisticated processes for risk monitoring. They publish first-rate analysis. And they have actively developed measures to mitigate risks to the financial system—notably from FX exposures, and from household indebtedness—as circumstances have changed. But their system has evolved to be highly complex, which poses challenges for coordination, communication, and transparency; moreover, their toolkit needs to be extended. These areas should be the focus of efforts to strengthen the policy framework.
Monetary policy. --- Foreign exchange. --- Asset requirements --- Banking --- Banks and Banking --- Banks and banking --- Banks --- Countercyclical capital buffers --- Depository Institutions --- Economic policy --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Financial regulation and supervision --- Financial risk management --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Financial sector stability --- Financial services industry --- Financial services law & regulation --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Macroeconomics --- Macroprudential policy instruments --- Macroprudential policy --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Systemic risk --- Korea, Republic of
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This paper builds a novel database on the effects of macroprudential policy drawing from 58 empirical studies, comprising over 6,000 results on a wide range of instruments and outcome variables. It encompasses information on statistical significance, standardized magnitudes, and other characteristics of the estimates. Using meta-analysis techniques, the paper estimates average effects to find i) statistically significant effects on credit, but with considerable heterogeneity across instruments; ii) weaker and more imprecise effects on house prices; iii) quantitatively stronger effects in emerging markets and among studies using micro-level data; and iii) statistically significant evidence of leakages and spillovers. Other findings include relatively stronger impacts for tightening than loosening actions and negative effects on economic activity in the near term.
Greenland --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Real Estate --- Financial Aspects of Economic Integration --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Housing Supply and Markets --- Monetary economics --- Property & real estate --- Macroprudential policy --- Macroprudential policy instruments --- Credit --- Consumer credit --- Housing prices --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Money --- Prices --- Economic policy --- Housing
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A dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model tailored to the Thai economy is used to explore the performance of alternative monetary and macroprudential policy rules when faced with shocks that directly impact the financial cycle. In this context, the model shows that a monetary policy focused on its traditional inflation and output objectives accompanied by a well targeted counter-cyclical macroprudential policy yields better macroeconomic outcomes than a lean-against-the-wind monetary policy rule under a wide range of assumptions.
Thailand --- Finance: General --- Inflation --- Infrastructure --- Macroeconomics --- General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis --- Housing --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Finance --- Macroprudential policy instruments --- Macroprudential policy --- Financial sector stability --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- National accounts --- Prices --- Economic policy --- Financial services industry --- Saving and investment
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Macroprudential oversight in Italy combines local elements with the European framework. At a local level, financial stability is a shared responsibility between Banca d’Italia (BdI), which is the national central bank and the prudential authority for banks and other financial institutions, the markets authority, Commissione Nazionale per le Società e la Borsa (CONSOB), the insurance supervisor, Istituto per la Vigilanza Sulle Assicurazioni (IVASS), and the pension funds supervisor, Commissione di Vigilanza sui Fondi Pensione (COVIP).2 Each authority exercises its responsibility within a combination of sectoral and activity boundaries and the BdI plays a leading role in surveillance and coordination. Within the European framework, the BdI is both the national competent authority and the designated authority for the macroprudential tools considered under the Capital Requirements Regulation (CRR) and the Capital Requirements Directive IV (CRD IV), which are implemented and activated following the processes described in these regulatory texts and the guidelines provided by the European Central Bank (ECB) – within the competences assigned to it by the SSM Regulation - and the European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB). The ubiquitous role of the BdI on both fronts eases the challenges posed by the coexistence of these two frameworks.
Debt. --- Poverty. --- Banking --- Banks and Banking --- Banks and banking --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Economic policy --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Financial risk management --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Financial sector risk --- Financial sector stability --- Financial services industry --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Industries: Financial Services --- Institutional Investors --- Insurance companies --- Macroeconomics --- Macroprudential policy instruments --- Macroprudential policy --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Pension Funds --- Systemic risk --- Italy
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This study analyzes the drivers of the use of formal vs. informal financial services in emerging and developing countries using the 2017 Global FINDEX data. In particular, we investigate whether individuals’ choice of financial services correlates with macro-financial and macro-structural policies and conditions, in addition to individual and country characteristics. We start our analysis on middle and low-income countries, and then zoom in on sub-Saharan Africa, currently the region that most relies on informal financial services, and which has the largest uptake of mobile banking. We find robust evidence of an association between macroprudential policies and individuals’ choice of financial access after controlling for personal and country-level characteristics. In particular, macroprudential policies aimed at controlling credit supply seem to be associated with greater resort to informal financial services compared with formal, bank-based access. This highlights the importance for central bankers and financial sector regulators to consider the potential spillovers of monetary policy and financial stability measures on financial inclusion.
Kenya --- Finance: General --- Macroeconomics --- Industries: Financial Services --- Personal Finance --- Informal Economy --- Underground Econom --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Monetary Policy --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Monetary Systems --- Standards --- Regimes --- Government and the Monetary System --- Payment Systems --- Finance --- Computer applications in industry & technology --- Financial services --- Financial inclusion --- Mobile banking --- Macroprudential policy --- Macroprudential policy instruments --- Financial markets --- Technology --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Financial services industry --- Economic policy --- Banks and banking, Mobile
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This paper takes a new approach to assess the costs and benefits of using different policy tools—macroprudential, monetary, foreign exchange interventions, and capital flow management—in response to changes in financial conditions. The approach evaluates net benefits of policies using quadratic loss functions, estimating policy effects on the full distribution of future output growth and inflation with quantile regressions. Tightening macroprudential policy dampens downside risks to growth stemming from loose financial conditions, and is beneficial in net terms. By contrast, tightening monetary policy entails net losses, calling for caution in the use of monetary policy to “lean against the wind.” These findings hold when policies are used in response to easing global financial conditions. Buying foreign-exchange or tightening capital controls has small net benefits.
Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Monetary Policy --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Foreign Exchange --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- Monetary economics --- International economics --- Macroprudential policy --- Macroprudential policy instruments --- Credit --- Financial conditions index --- Capital flow management --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Money --- Balance of payments --- Economic policy --- Business cycles --- Capital movements --- United States
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