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This technical note on macroprudential policy framework and tools on France highlights that the institutional arrangements provide adequate powers to ensure Haut conseil de stabilité financière’s (HCSF) ability to act; however, some tools remain outside its legal domain. The report also discusses that The HCSF should evaluate effects of tools introduced to mitigate risks from corporate leverage. The HCSF should continue to monitor vulnerabilities in the corporate sector and once enough data is available, evaluate the impact on the tools introduced on: resilience of the financial system; and corporate borrowing behavior. A sectoral systemic risk buffer, calibrated to corporate exposures, could be considered if vulnerabilities intensify. A fiscal measure that incentivizes corporates to finance through equity rather than debt would affect both bank and market-based finance. Such a measure would have an impact on the demand for credit, rather than its supply. The macroprudential policy toolkit should be strengthened further.
Economic development. --- France. --- Economic development --- Economic policy --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Financial risk management --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Financial sector stability --- Financial services industry --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Industries: Financial Services --- Institutional Investors --- Insurance companies --- Macroeconomics --- Macroprudential policy instruments --- Macroprudential policy --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Pension Funds --- Systemic risk --- France
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This paper introduces a new comprehensive database of macroprudential policies, which combines information from various sources and covers 134 countries from January 1990 to December 2016. Using these data, we first confirm that loan-targeted instruments have a significant impact on household credit, and a milder, dampening effect on consumption. Next, we exploit novel numerical information on loan-to-value (LTV) limits using a propensity-score-based method to address endogeneity concerns. The results point to economically significant and nonlinear effects, with a declining impact for larger tightening measures. Moreover, the initial LTV level appears to matter; when LTV limits are already tight, the effects of additional tightening on credit is dampened while those on consumption are strengthened.
Credit control. --- Bank liquidity. --- Financial risk management. --- Risk management --- Liquidity (Economics) --- Credit --- Credit allocation --- Credit policy --- Monetary policy --- Government policy --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Central Banks and Their Policies --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Monetary economics --- Macroprudential policy instruments --- Macroprudential policy --- Consumer credit --- Consumption --- Economic policy --- Economics
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This technical note evaluates the macroprudential policy framework in Singapore with a focus on the price effect of macroprudential instruments. It assesses the domestic institutional arrangement, systemic risk monitoring framework, and macroprudential policy toolkit. The note assesses the strengths and weaknesses of the institutional arrangements for macroprudential policymaking and provides recommendations on how to enhance them further. It also describes the existing systemic risk monitoring framework and provides options to strengthen it. The use of macroprudential instruments in recent years and their effects on residential prices have also been discussed. The institutional framework for macroprudential policymaking has been revised and contains a clear mandate and well-defined objectives. The macroprudential mandate is assigned to dedicated committees within Monetary Authority of Singapore, limiting risk of dual mandates for the central bank. The authorities have taken important steps in recent years to develop the macroprudential policy framework and address relevant recommendations.
Financial risk. --- Business risk (Finance) --- Money risk (Finance) --- Risk --- Infrastructure --- Macroeconomics --- Real Estate --- Industries: Financial Services --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis --- Housing --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Housing Supply and Markets --- Finance --- Property & real estate --- Macroprudential policy --- Macroprudential policy instruments --- Loans --- Housing prices --- National accounts --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Prices --- Financial institutions --- Economic policy --- Saving and investment --- Singapore
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This Technical Note on Macroprudential Policy Framework for the Republic of Poland highlights that the present macroprudential policy framework provides a sound basis for macroprudential oversight of the financial system and was established by law in November 2015. Its relatively recent establishment implies that practical experience with the conduct of macroprudential policy under the framework is still limited. Initial experience is favorable, however, it remains to be seen how the framework will function under more challenging circumstances. The Financial Stability Committee—Macroprudential (FSC-M) has recommended a variety of measures to provide incentives for voluntary restructuring of foreign exchange housing loans extended by Polish banks. It is recommended that the FSC-M further strengthens its communication in order to increase transparency and accountability, considers a more active use of targeted statements as a policy instrument, and increases the involvement of external experts in the preparation of its meetings.
Economic policy. --- Economic nationalism --- Economic planning --- National planning --- State planning --- Economics --- Planning --- National security --- Social policy --- Finance: General --- Macroeconomics --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Finance --- Systemic risk --- Systemic risk assessment --- Macroprudential policy --- Financial sector stability --- Financial stability assessment --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Financial risk management --- Financial services industry --- Economic policy --- Poland, Republic of
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Selected Issues.
Econometrics --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- Time-Series Models --- Dynamic Quantile Regressions --- Dynamic Treatment Effect Models --- Diffusion Processes --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Econometrics & economic statistics --- Public finance & taxation --- Financial conditions index --- Credit gaps --- Vector autoregression --- Macroprudential policy --- Post-clearance customs audit --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Econometric analysis --- Revenue administration --- Business cycles --- Economic policy --- Customs administration --- Seychelles
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This technical note evaluates the domestic macroprudential policy framework in Malta and provides recommendations to strengthen it. It assesses: the domestic institutional arrangements; the systemic risk monitoring framework; and the macroprudential policy toolkit. It also assesses current financial vulnerabilities in Malta to develop specific policy recommendations. The paper also reviews the current domestic institutional arrangements and provides recommendations and discusses the existing systemic risk monitoring framework and provides options to enhance it further. The legal backing of inter-agency coordination could be further strengthened. The report highlights that the planned introduction of borrower-based measures is a welcome step to proactively address a build-up of vulnerabilities in the housing and household sectors. There is scope to refine the design of the planned borrower-based measures to reduce uncertainty over policy effects. The Central Bank of Malta plans to introduce borrower-based measures to proactively address the potential build-up of vulnerabilities in the housing and household sectors.
Banking --- Banks and Banking --- Banks and banking --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Economic policy --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial institutions --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Financial risk management --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Financial sector stability --- Financial services industry --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Industries: Financial Services --- Loans --- Macroeconomics --- Macroprudential policy --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Systemic risk assessment --- Malta
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This Selected Issues paper analyzes monetary policy and financial cycles; the evolution of macroprudential policies in Korea; the efficacy in prudential policies in taming financial excess and building financial resilience and; the interaction between monetary policy and macroprudential policies. Evidence for Korea suggests that financial stability will not necessarily materialize as a natural by-product of a so-called appropriate monetary policy stance. Although the effects of monetary and macroprudential instruments may overlap, they are not perfect substitutes. Macroprudential policies can also impact the banking system by affecting bank funding costs through the net interest margin. In certain circumstances borrower-based prudential measures and monetary policy can complement one another. Macroprudential policies can impact banks profitability. Policymakers should be mindful that macroprudential policy is not free of costs and that there may be trade-offs between the stability and the efficiency of financial systems.
Monetary policy --- Monetary management --- Economic policy --- Currency boards --- Money supply --- Exports and Imports --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Industries: Manufacturing --- Production and Operations Management --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Trade: General --- Labour --- income economics --- International economics --- Manufacturing industries --- Finance --- Labor markets --- Macroprudential policy --- Output gap --- Manufacturing --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Production --- Economic sectors --- Labor market --- Economic theory --- Korea, Republic of --- Income economics
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This Financial System Stability Assessment paper on Thailand highlights that assets of the insurance and mutual fund sectors have doubled as a share of gross domestic product over the last decade, and capital markets are largely on par with regional peers. The report discusses significant slowdown in China and advanced economies, a sharp rise in risk premia, and entrenched low inflation would adversely impact the financial system. Stress tests results suggest that the banking sector is resilient to severe shocks and that systemic and contagion risks stemming from interlinkages are limited. Financial system oversight is generally strong, but the operational independence of supervisory agencies can be strengthened further. The operational independence of supervisory agencies can be strengthened further by reducing the involvement of the Ministry of Finance in prudential issues and ensuring that each agency has full control over decisions that lie within its areas of responsibility.
Financial crises --- Balance of trade --- Banking --- Banks and Banking --- Banks and banking --- Banks --- Commercial banks --- Depository Institutions --- Economic policy --- Empirical Studies of Trade --- Exports and Imports --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Financial institutions --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Financial sector stability --- Financial services industry --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- International economics --- International trade --- Liquidity stress testing --- Macroeconomics --- Macroprudential policy instruments --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Trade balance --- Thailand
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This Selected Issues paper discusses interactions between external risks and the New Zealand economy. The current set of external risks has the potential to be extremely damaging to New Zealand, but two factors would likely mitigate the economic impact. First, the flexible exchange rate regime is a reliable shock absorber and automatic stabilizer from the perspective of GDP, although it leads to a rebalancing between the domestic and external sectors in the economy. Second, net migration flows can reduce the negative impact of lower external demand under some circumstances, such as a growth slowdown in Australia. Fiscal policy could also offset some of the short-term costs of adjustment. Fiscal policy can provide stimulus at relatively small and manageable cost to the already-low government debt to GDP ratio. Moreover, at the current juncture, fiscal policy might need to provide the bulk of policy support against negative shocks, as monetary policy might be ineffective if has become constrained by an effective lower bound on the monetary policy interest rate.
New Zealand --- Economic conditions. --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Consumption --- Economic policy --- Economics --- Emigration and Immigration --- Emigration and immigration --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Financial sector stability --- Financial services industry --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Health economics --- Income --- International Migration --- Investment & securities --- Investments: Commodities --- Macroeconomics --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Macroprudential policy --- Migration --- Migration, immigration & emigration --- National accounts --- Population and demographics --- Saving --- Wealth
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This paper assesses the effectiveness of lending restriction measures, such as loan-to-value and debt-service-to-income ratios, in affecting developments in house prices and credit. We use data on 99 lending standard restrictions implemented in 28 EU countries over 1990–2018. The results suggest that lending restriction measures are generally effective in curbing house prices and credit. However, the impact is delayed and reaches its peak only after three years. In addition, the impact is asymmetric, with tightening measures having weaker association with target variables compared to loosening measures. The association is stronger in countries outside of euro area and for legally-binding measures and measures involving sanctions. The results have practical implications for macroprudential authorities.
Banks and Banking --- Macroeconomics --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Real Estate --- General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation --- Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation --- Studies of Particular Policy Episodes --- Housing Supply and Markets --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General --- Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy --- Banks --- Depository Institutions --- Micro Finance Institutions --- Mortgages --- Banking --- Property & real estate --- Monetary economics --- Housing prices --- Central bank policy rate --- Credit --- Macroprudential policy instruments --- Foreign banks --- Prices --- Financial services --- Money --- Financial sector policy and analysis --- Financial institutions --- Housing --- Interest rates --- Economic policy --- Banks and banking, Foreign --- Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China
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