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1999 (2)

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Book
Long-Run Exchange Rate Dynamics : A Panel Data Study
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462338933 1452727074 1281602892 1451894031 9786613783585 Year: 1999 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Long-run movements of real exchange rates are studied using a panel data set comprising 51 economies. The purchasing power parity hypothesis (PPP) is examined first using unit root tests. It is found that PPP does not hold for the full sample of countries, but it may hold for the advanced economies, as well as open and high-inflation economies. Using the recently developed mean group and pooled mean group estimators, the paper finds support for the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis in both advanced and developing economies; and for the influence of shifts in the terms of trade.


Book
Inflation, Money Demand, and Purchasing Power Parity in South Africa
Author:
ISBN: 1462382207 1452710872 1282026798 9786613796523 1451899815 Year: 1999 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This empirical study for South Africa indicates that there exists a stable money demand type of relationship among domestic prices, broad money, real income, and interest rates, as well as a long-run relationship among domestic prices, foreign prices, and the nominal exchange rate. In the short run, shocks to the nominal exchange rate affect domestic prices but have virtually no impact on real output, while shocks to broad money have a temporary impact on real output before becoming inflationary. Both types of shocks seem to trigger a monetary policy response, since the short-term interest rate adjusts quickly.

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