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1995 (76)

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Book
Employment and Wages in the Public Sector : A Cross-Country Study.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462343945 1455203076 1281345490 9786613779069 1455220124 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

We study the determinants of employment and wages in the public sector, using a new set of panel data for 34 LDCs and 21 OECD countries from 1972–992, by estimating equations suggested by an efficiency wage model. We find that government employment is positively associated with the relaxation of resource constraints (the revenue-to-GDP ratio and foreign financing in the case of developing countries and GDP per capita in the case of OECD countries), urbanization, the level of education, and certain countercyclical pressures for government hiring (the real effective exchange rate for developing countries and private employment for OECD countries). Certain measures of government wages are positively associated with government revenues and negatively associated with the level of education, government debt, and countercyclical pressures.


Book
Skills, Wages, and Employment in East and West Germany
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462362214 1455261548 1281154423 9786613776730 1455236209 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Disaggregated data from 30 two-digit manufacturing industries in the east and west parts of unified Germany are used to estimate employment for three skill categories of blue collar workers. Employment elasticities are uniformly higher in the east, and for unskilled labor. The former result contradicts union claims that wages had little relevance for east German job losses, while the latter confirms the capital-skill complementarity hypothesis.


Book
Exchange Rate Movements and Inflation Performance : The Case of Italy
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462340962 1455246441 1281601861 145520496X 9786613782557 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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This paper presents an empirical model to study the response of wages and prices to movements in the nominal exchange rate. A four-equation model is applied to Italian data to evaluate the response of tradeable goods prices, consumer prices, and wages following the lira’s exit from the ERM in the fall of 1992. The model tracks reasonably well the inflation performance of tradeables, especially import prices. But it is argued that structural changes in the labor market contribute to an overprediction of price and wage inflation.


Book
Institutional Structure and Labor Market Outcomes : Western Lessons for European Countries in Transition
Author:
ISBN: 1462328814 145522930X 1281600563 1455255424 9786613781253 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Changes in economic systems provide a rare opportunity to redesign basic institutional structures in labor markets. This paper attempts to provide guidance for such institutional choice by drawing on the findings of recent labor market research in market economies on the links between institutional structure and labor market performance. After considering the suitability of research from market economies for the labor market problems faced by economies in transition from central planning, the paper considers the effects of alternative institutions for wage determination (collective bargaining structures and minimum wage and indexation legislation), employment security, income security, and active labor market policy.


Book
Wage Contracts, Capital Mobility, and Macroeconomic Policy
Author:
ISBN: 1462377343 1455262552 1281089745 1455255386 9786613775108 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper examines the long-run effects of macroeconomic policy shocks on the behavior of output, inflation, real wages and the real exchange rate in a small open economy. The analysis is based on a two-sector, three-good optimizing model with imperfect capital mobility, nominal wage contracts with backward- or forward-looking price expectations, and endogenous mark-up pricing in the nontraded goods sector. The effects of a cut in government spending on nontraded goods are shown to be independent of the expectational mechanism embedded in wage contracts. A reduction in the nominal devaluation rate lowers steady-state output in the tradable sector under backward-looking contracts, but exerts an expansionary effect under forward-looking contracts.


Book
Skill Heterogeneity and Aggregation Bias Over the Business Cycle
Author:
ISBN: 1462312586 1455241466 1282106759 1455226211 9786613800107 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper extends the equilibrium business cycle framework to incorporate ex ante skill heterogeneity among workers. Consistent with the empirical evidence, skilled and unskilled workers in the model face the same degree of cyclical variation in real wages although unskilled workers are subject to substantially higher procyclical variation in employment. Systematic cyclical changes in the average skill level of employed workers are shown to induce bias in aggregate measures of cyclical variation in the labor input, productivity, and the real wage. The introduction of skill heterogeneity improves the model’s ability to match the empirical correlation between total hours and the real wage but the correlation between total hours and labor productivity remains higher than in the data.


Book
Wage Dispersion in the 1980's : Resurrecting the Role of Trade Through the Effects of Durable Employment Changes
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462387292 1455264644 1281988839 1455212067 9786613794369 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper finds that changes in durable manufacturing employment and investment in computer equipment can explain rising wage dispersion in the United States, measured in terms of the education premium. Reduced employment opportunities in durables production drive down the average wage for workers with only a high school education, thereby increasing the wage premium for college education. An innovation in this paper is the inclusion of investment in equipment as a proxy for skill-biased technical change. The rise in the technical skill premium could alone explain all of the rise in the college premium since 1979 were there no offsetting effects. This is a Paper on Policy Analysis and Assessment and the author(s) would welcome any comments on the present text Citations should refer to a Paper on Policy Analysis and Assessment of the International Monetary Fund, mentioning the author(s) and the date of issuance. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the Fund.


Book
Wage Expenditures of Central Governments.
Authors: ---
ISBN: 1462392474 1455274666 1281089478 9786613774835 1455265470 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Central government wage expenditures accounted for 7 percent of GDP in 99 countries during 1980-90 (unweighted average). Regression analysis indicates that federations, countries with high populations and high per capita incomes, heavily indebted countries, and small low-income economies tend to have lower central government wage expenditures as a percent of GDP. Access to private nonguaranteed foreign financing is associated with higher wage expenditures, while public and publicly guaranteed foreign financing is not; the public and publicly guaranteed foreign financing is often provided for government capital projects. Medium-term structural adjustment programs, on average, have a negative association with wage expenditures, while short-term stabilization programs do not. The negative correlation between central government wage expenditures and per capita income appears related to the level of centralization of government expenditures. General government wage expenditures are higher in industrial countries than in developing countries.


Book
The Labor Market and Economic Adjustment
Author:
ISBN: 1462305512 1455251550 1282044524 1455250430 9786613797629 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

This paper examines the role of the labor market in the transmission process of adjustment policies in developing countries. It begins by reviewing the recent evidence regarding the functioning of these markets. It then studies the implications of wage inertia, nominal contracts, labor market segmentation, and impediments to labor mobility for stabilization policies. The effect of labor market reforms on economic flexibility and the channels through which labor market imperfections alter the effects of structural adjustment measures are discussed next. The last part of the paper identifies a variety of issues that may require further investigation, such as the link between changes in relative wages and the distributional effects of adjustment policies.


Book
The Peace Dividend : Military Spending Cuts and Economic Growth
Authors: --- ---
ISBN: 1462331866 1455260576 1281602302 9786613782991 1455251380 Year: 1995 Publisher: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund,

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Abstract

Although conventional wisdom suggests that reducing military spending may improve a country’s economic growth performance, empirical studies have produced ambiguous results. This paper extends a standard growth model and estimates it using techniques that exploit both cross-section and time-series dimensions of available data to obtain consistent estimates of the growth-retarding effects of military spending via its adverse impact on capital formation and resource allocation. Model simulations suggest that a substantial long-run “Peace Dividend”--in the form of higher capacity output--may result from: (i) markedly lower military expenditure levels achieved in most regions during the late 1980s; and (ii) further military spending cuts that would be possible in the future if a global peace could be secured.

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