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We study the determinants of employment and wages in the public sector, using a new set of panel data for 34 LDCs and 21 OECD countries from 1972–992, by estimating equations suggested by an efficiency wage model. We find that government employment is positively associated with the relaxation of resource constraints (the revenue-to-GDP ratio and foreign financing in the case of developing countries and GDP per capita in the case of OECD countries), urbanization, the level of education, and certain countercyclical pressures for government hiring (the real effective exchange rate for developing countries and private employment for OECD countries). Certain measures of government wages are positively associated with government revenues and negatively associated with the level of education, government debt, and countercyclical pressures.
Labor --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Civil service & public sector --- Public employment --- Public sector wages --- Civil service --- Economic theory --- United States --- Income economics
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Disaggregated data from 30 two-digit manufacturing industries in the east and west parts of unified Germany are used to estimate employment for three skill categories of blue collar workers. Employment elasticities are uniformly higher in the east, and for unskilled labor. The former result contradicts union claims that wages had little relevance for east German job losses, while the latter confirms the capital-skill complementarity hypothesis.
Labor --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Labor Demand --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Labor demand --- Wage adjustments --- Real wages --- Economic theory --- Labor market --- Germany --- Income economics
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This paper presents an empirical model to study the response of wages and prices to movements in the nominal exchange rate. A four-equation model is applied to Italian data to evaluate the response of tradeable goods prices, consumer prices, and wages following the lira’s exit from the ERM in the fall of 1992. The model tracks reasonably well the inflation performance of tradeables, especially import prices. But it is argued that structural changes in the labor market contribute to an overprediction of price and wage inflation.
Inflation --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Price Level --- Deflation --- Trade: General --- Foreign Exchange --- Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Import prices --- Wages --- Labor markets --- Consumer prices --- Prices --- Export prices --- Imports --- Labor market --- Exports --- Italy --- Income economics
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Changes in economic systems provide a rare opportunity to redesign basic institutional structures in labor markets. This paper attempts to provide guidance for such institutional choice by drawing on the findings of recent labor market research in market economies on the links between institutional structure and labor market performance. After considering the suitability of research from market economies for the labor market problems faced by economies in transition from central planning, the paper considers the effects of alternative institutions for wage determination (collective bargaining structures and minimum wage and indexation legislation), employment security, income security, and active labor market policy.
Labor --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- Labor Economics Policies --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Labour --- income economics --- Labor markets --- Active labor market policies --- Labor market --- Manpower policy --- Economic theory --- United States --- Income economics
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This paper examines the long-run effects of macroeconomic policy shocks on the behavior of output, inflation, real wages and the real exchange rate in a small open economy. The analysis is based on a two-sector, three-good optimizing model with imperfect capital mobility, nominal wage contracts with backward- or forward-looking price expectations, and endogenous mark-up pricing in the nontraded goods sector. The effects of a cut in government spending on nontraded goods are shown to be independent of the expectational mechanism embedded in wage contracts. A reduction in the nominal devaluation rate lowers steady-state output in the tradable sector under backward-looking contracts, but exerts an expansionary effect under forward-looking contracts.
Exports and Imports --- Foreign Exchange --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects --- Fiscal Policy --- Open Economy Macroeconomics --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Macroeconomics: Consumption --- Saving --- Wealth --- Trade: General --- Labour --- income economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- International economics --- Real exchange rates --- Wages --- Real wages --- Consumption --- Exports --- International trade --- National accounts --- Economics --- Japan --- Income economics
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This paper extends the equilibrium business cycle framework to incorporate ex ante skill heterogeneity among workers. Consistent with the empirical evidence, skilled and unskilled workers in the model face the same degree of cyclical variation in real wages although unskilled workers are subject to substantially higher procyclical variation in employment. Systematic cyclical changes in the average skill level of employed workers are shown to induce bias in aggregate measures of cyclical variation in the labor input, productivity, and the real wage. The introduction of skill heterogeneity improves the model’s ability to match the empirical correlation between total hours and the real wage but the correlation between total hours and labor productivity remains higher than in the data.
Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Production and Operations Management --- Business Fluctuations --- Cycles --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Wage Level and Structure --- Wage Differentials --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Labor Economics: General --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Labour --- income economics --- Real wages --- Productivity --- Production --- Economic theory --- Labor economics --- Industrial productivity --- United States --- Income economics
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This paper finds that changes in durable manufacturing employment and investment in computer equipment can explain rising wage dispersion in the United States, measured in terms of the education premium. Reduced employment opportunities in durables production drive down the average wage for workers with only a high school education, thereby increasing the wage premium for college education. An innovation in this paper is the inclusion of investment in equipment as a proxy for skill-biased technical change. The rise in the technical skill premium could alone explain all of the rise in the college premium since 1979 were there no offsetting effects. This is a Paper on Policy Analysis and Assessment and the author(s) would welcome any comments on the present text Citations should refer to a Paper on Policy Analysis and Assessment of the International Monetary Fund, mentioning the author(s) and the date of issuance. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those of the Fund.
Foreign Exchange --- Labor --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Education: General --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Wage Level and Structure --- Wage Differentials --- Labour --- income economics --- Currency --- Foreign exchange --- Education --- Real effective exchange rates --- Real exchange rates --- Economic theory --- United States --- Income economics
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Central government wage expenditures accounted for 7 percent of GDP in 99 countries during 1980-90 (unweighted average). Regression analysis indicates that federations, countries with high populations and high per capita incomes, heavily indebted countries, and small low-income economies tend to have lower central government wage expenditures as a percent of GDP. Access to private nonguaranteed foreign financing is associated with higher wage expenditures, while public and publicly guaranteed foreign financing is not; the public and publicly guaranteed foreign financing is often provided for government capital projects. Medium-term structural adjustment programs, on average, have a negative association with wage expenditures, while short-term stabilization programs do not. The negative correlation between central government wage expenditures and per capita income appears related to the level of centralization of government expenditures. General government wage expenditures are higher in industrial countries than in developing countries.
Budgeting --- Labor --- Public Finance --- National Budget --- Budget Systems --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Budgeting & financial management --- Public finance & taxation --- Labour --- income economics --- Central government spending --- Total expenditures --- Expenditure --- Wages --- Public sector wages --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Budget --- Expenditures, Public --- Belgium --- Income economics
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This paper examines the role of the labor market in the transmission process of adjustment policies in developing countries. It begins by reviewing the recent evidence regarding the functioning of these markets. It then studies the implications of wage inertia, nominal contracts, labor market segmentation, and impediments to labor mobility for stabilization policies. The effect of labor market reforms on economic flexibility and the channels through which labor market imperfections alter the effects of structural adjustment measures are discussed next. The last part of the paper identifies a variety of issues that may require further investigation, such as the link between changes in relative wages and the distributional effects of adjustment policies.
Labor --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General --- Demand and Supply of Labor: General --- Employment --- Unemployment --- Wages --- Intergenerational Income Distribution --- Aggregate Human Capital --- Aggregate Labor Productivity --- Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search --- Labor Demand --- Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: Public Policy --- Labour --- income economics --- Labor markets --- Real wages --- Minimum wages --- Labor market --- Economic theory --- Minimum wage --- Mexico --- Income economics
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Although conventional wisdom suggests that reducing military spending may improve a country’s economic growth performance, empirical studies have produced ambiguous results. This paper extends a standard growth model and estimates it using techniques that exploit both cross-section and time-series dimensions of available data to obtain consistent estimates of the growth-retarding effects of military spending via its adverse impact on capital formation and resource allocation. Model simulations suggest that a substantial long-run “Peace Dividend”--in the form of higher capacity output--may result from: (i) markedly lower military expenditure levels achieved in most regions during the late 1980s; and (ii) further military spending cuts that would be possible in the future if a global peace could be secured.
Exports and Imports --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Production and Operations Management --- National Security and War --- Macroeconomics: Production --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- Trade Policy --- International Trade Organizations --- Public finance & taxation --- Labour --- income economics --- International economics --- Defense spending --- Capacity utilization --- Production growth --- Human capital --- Trade barriers --- Expenditure --- Production --- International trade --- Expenditures, Public --- Industrial capacity --- Economic theory --- Commercial policy --- Germany --- Income economics
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