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This paper documents the additional spending that is required for sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) to achieve meaningful progress in SDGs by 2030. Benin and Rwanda are presented in detail through case studies. The main lessons are: i) average additional spending across SSA is significant, at 19 percent of GDP in 2030; ii) countries must prioritize their development objectives according to their capacity to deliver satisfactory outcomes, iii) financing strategies should articulate multiple sources given the scale of additional spending, and iv) strong national ownership of SDGs is key and should be reflected in long-term development plans and medium-term policy commitments.
Investments: Energy --- Sustainable Development --- Demography --- Education: General --- Health: General --- Demographic Economics: General --- Electric Utilities --- Development economics & emerging economies --- Education --- Health economics --- Population & demography --- Investment & securities --- Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) --- Health --- Population and demographics --- Electricity --- Development --- Commodities --- Sustainable development --- Population --- Electric utilities --- Benin
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The contents of this report constitute technical advice provided by the staff of the IMF to the authorities of Nigeria in response to their request for technical assistance. Unlocking the potential of a rapidly growing population requires substantial improvements in human and physical capital. Nigeria is Africa’s most populous country and its largest economy. Recognizing challenges, Nigeria has embraced the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Agenda. The Economic Recovery and Growth Plan 2017–2020 gives prominence to economic, social and environmental issues. This report assesses additional spending associated with making substantial progress along the SDGs. The report focuses on critical areas of human and physical capital. For each sector, the report documents progress to date, assesses Nigeria relative to peers, highlights challenges, and estimates the spending to make substantial SDG progress. Nigeria has shown gradual improvements in education. A gradual and strategic approach should be considered given the relatively large additional spending.
Environmental responsibility. --- Demographic Economics: General --- Demography --- Development economics & emerging economies --- Development --- Education --- Education: General --- Expenditure --- Expenditures, Public --- Health care spending --- Health economics --- Health --- Health: General --- National Government Expenditures and Health --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General --- Population & demography --- Population and demographics --- Population --- Public expenditure review --- Public finance & taxation --- Public Finance --- Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) --- Sustainable Development --- Sustainable development --- Nigeria
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Attainment of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) will require that the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries continue their considerable past achievements. The Millennium Development Goals—which were to have been met by 2015—helped focus attention on achieving progress towards poverty reduction, better health outcomes, and improvements in education in the ASEAN developing countries. The 17 SDGs—adopted in 2015 and to be met by 2030—cover a wider set of interlinked development objectives, such as inclusion and environmental sustainability, which are important for all countries, including all ASEAN member countries. ASEAN countries have made significant progress in improving incomes and economic opportunities, including for women, and reducing poverty since 2000. Reflecting the economic dynamism of the region, strong income growth, structural transformation, and infrastructure improvements continue to support sustainable development in ASEAN. With continued income growth and strong policy efforts, most ASEAN countries are on track to eradicate absolute poverty by 2030, a major milestone. Also, several ASEAN countries already do relatively well in terms of gender equality. As a result, given support from continued income gains, economic welfare in ASEAN countries is expected to continue converging towards advanced Asia levels. Ensuring more inclusive and environmentally sustainable growth presents a key challenge for ASEAN. Despite some progress, income inequality remains relatively high in several countries and the shift towards manufacturing strains environmental sustainability. These challenges hamper ASEAN welfare convergence relative to advanced Asia. Policies to close these gaps in sustainable development can lead to significant gains. For the lower-middle-income ASEAN countries, in particular, more determined policy efforts are needed to improve infrastructure, as well as health and education outcomes. Remaining sustainable development challenges call for comprehensive, country-specific SDG strategies formulated in the context of national development plans and close monitoring through the voluntary review process. Pursuing sustainable development entails sizeable spending needs. Estimates for Indonesia and Vietnam, the two cases studies considered in this paper, show that reaching the level of best performers in their income group in infrastructure, health, and education by 2030 could entail an additional cost of 5½–6½ percent of GDP per year. While development needs vary across countries, estimates suggest large spending needs for most ASEAN countries. Meeting them will require efforts on multiple fronts, including improvements in spending efficiency, tax capacity, and support from the private sector. For developing ASEAN countries, concessional financing from development partners will be required. The IMF continues to engage ASEAN countries in key areas as they pursue their SDGs. As called for in their mandates, ASEAN and the IMF both strive for economic growth and sustainable development through economic integration and collaboration among their member countries. The IMF has increased its engagement with ASEAN countries to support their policy efforts through its policy diagnostics, advice, and capacity development. ASEAN countries have also received support through IMF initiatives in strengthening revenue mobilization, building state capacity for infrastructure provision, pursuing economic and financial inclusion, addressing the challenges of climate change, strengthening economic institutions for good governance, and building statistical capacity. While fundamental reforms to improve sustainable development take time to bear fruit, there is evidence that efforts have started to pay off.
ASEAN. --- Sustainable Development Goals. --- International Monetary Fund. --- Capacity --- Capital --- Development economics & emerging economies --- Development --- Education --- Education: General --- Health economics --- Health --- Health: General --- Infrastructure --- Intangible Capital --- Investment --- Macroeconomics --- National accounts --- Saving and investment --- Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) --- Sustainable Development --- Sustainable development --- Vietnam
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While growth in advanced economies is losing momentum amid trade tensions and policy uncertainty, activity in many emerging and low-income developing countries (EMDEs) has remained more robust, supported by still favorable financing conditions. Differences across EMDEs are large, however, and downside risks are building. Policy priorities include enhancing resilience in response to a more challenging global environment, creating fiscal space for essential development spending, containing debt vulnerabilities, and promoting strong and inclusive growth. Strengthening revenue generating capacity, enhancing public spending efficiency, and addressing infrastructure gaps are critical for reaching the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals.
Angola --- Exports and Imports --- Macroeconomics --- Public Finance --- Sustainable Development --- Debt --- Debt Management --- Sovereign Debt --- Fiscal Policy --- Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General --- International Lending and Debt Problems --- Public finance & taxation --- Economic growth --- International economics --- Development economics & emerging economies --- Public debt --- Fiscal policy --- Inclusive growth --- Debt sustainability --- Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) --- External debt --- Development --- Debts, Public --- Economic development --- Debts, External --- Sustainable development
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This paper uses a novel macroeconomic framework to identify policy and financing options to help Rwanda achieve its sustainable development goals (SDGs). Under current policies, Rwanda would meet its SDGs right after 2050. Active policies that combine fiscal reforms and higher private sector participation could fulfill more than one third of Rwanda’s post-pandemic SDG financing gap, enabling the country to meet its SDG targets by 2040. For Rwanda to meet its SDGs by 2030, active policies would need to be complemented with about 13¾ percentage points of GDP in additional resources annually until then.
Rwanda --- Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- Sustainable Development --- Diseases: Contagious --- Labor --- Foreign Exchange --- Informal Economy --- Underground Econom --- Health Behavior --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- Fiscal Policy --- Education: General --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Development economics & emerging economies --- Infectious & contagious diseases --- Labour --- income economics --- Education --- Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) --- Development --- COVID-19 --- Health --- Human capital --- Fiscal space --- Fiscal policy --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Sustainable development --- Communicable diseases --- Covid-19 --- Income economics
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This paper assesses the additional spending required to make substantial progress towards achieving the SDGs in Pakistan. We focus on critical areas of human (education and health) and physical (electricity, roads, and water and sanitation) capital. For each sector, we document the progress to date, assess where Pakistan stands relative to its peers, highlight key challenges, and estimate the additional spending required to make substantial progress. The estimates for the additional spending are derived using the IMF SDG costing methodology. We find that to achieve the SDGs in these sectors would require additional annual spending of about 16 percent of GDP in 2030 from the public and private sectors combined.
Pakistan --- Macroeconomics --- Economics: General --- International Economics --- Sustainable Development --- Infrastructure --- Demography --- Foreign Exchange --- Informal Economy --- Underground Econom --- Education: General --- Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities: General --- Health: General --- Demographic Economics: General --- Economic & financial crises & disasters --- Economics of specific sectors --- Education --- Development economics & emerging economies --- Health economics --- Population & demography --- Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) --- Development --- Health --- Population and demographics --- Currency crises --- Informal sector --- Economics --- Sustainable development --- Saving and investment --- Population
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The global economy has been resilient and appears headed for a soft landing. Inflation continues to recede and risks have become more balanced globally. Nonetheless, medium-term growth prospects remain at the lowest level in decades and a smooth completion of the disinflation process should not be taken for granted. While the outlook for low-income developing countries (LIDCs) is improving, risks are tilted to the downside. The pace of convergence toward higher living standards has slowed, making it increasingly challenging to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). In the last mile of disinflation, central banks should ensure that inflation moves durably to target: they should neither ease policies prematurely nor delay too long and risk causing target undershoot. Fiscal policies need to rebuild budgetary room and ensure debt sustainability. Fostering faster productivity growth and facilitating the green transition are keys to improving long-term growth prospects. Multilateral cooperation is key to enhancing the resilience of the global economy in a more shock-prone world.
Climate change --- Climate finance --- Climate --- Climatic changes --- Deflation --- Development economics & emerging economies --- Development --- Disinflation --- Economics --- Energy: Government Policy --- Environment --- Environmental Conservation and Protection --- Environmental Economics --- Environmental Economics: General --- Global Warming --- Green finance / sustainable finance --- Industrial productivity --- Inflation --- Macroeconomics --- Monetary economics --- Monetary Policy --- Monetary policy --- Money and Monetary Policy --- Natural Disasters and Their Management --- Political Economy --- Political economy --- Price Level --- Prices --- Production and Operations Management --- Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) --- Sustainable Development --- Sustainable development
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The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) adopted by the UN General Assembly in 2015 represent a new global consensus to end poverty, promote prosperity, and protect the environment. Goal 8 seeks to improve global resource efficiency in consumption and production and to decouple economic growth (GDP) from environmental degradation while Goal 12 focuses on sustainable consumption and production. While GDP does not capture these broader goals, we suggest that the System of National Accounts which incorporates but goes well beyond GDP, can be used for the measurement of these SDGs and to support policy. We construct a conceptual “super balance sheet” with an expanded asset boundary to include durable consumer goods used to produce services, human capital, and access to resources such as clean water and air, education, health, and infrastructure, to produce an expanded household net worth.
Accounting --- Investments: Stocks --- Labor --- Macroeconomics --- Sustainable Development --- Economic Methodology --- Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data --- Data Access --- Household Production and Intrahousehold Allocation --- Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth --- Environmental Accounts --- General Aggregative Models: General --- Public Administration --- Public Sector Accounting and Audits --- Pension Funds --- Non-bank Financial Institutions --- Financial Instruments --- Institutional Investors --- Human Capital --- Skills --- Occupational Choice --- Labor Productivity --- Financial reporting, financial statements --- Development economics & emerging economies --- Investment & securities --- Labour --- income economics --- National accounts --- Financial statements --- Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) --- Stocks --- Human capital --- Public financial management (PFM) --- Development --- Financial institutions --- National income --- Finance, Public --- Sustainable development --- United States --- Income economics
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The goal of this paper is to estimate the additional annual spending required for meaningful progress on the SDGs in these areas. Our estimates refer to additional spending in 2030, relative to a baseline of current spending to GDP in these sectors. Toward this end, we apply an innovative costing methodology to a sample of 155 countries: 49 low- income developing countries, 72 emerging market economies, and 34 advanced economies. And we refine the analysis with five country studies: Rwanda, Benin, Vietnam, Indonesia, and Guatemala.
Capacity --- Capital --- Development economics & emerging economies --- Development --- Education and Economic Development --- Education --- Education: General --- Electric Utilities --- Emerging and frontier financial markets --- Finance --- Finance: General --- Financial markets --- Financial services industry --- Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development --- Foreign Aid --- Gas Utilities --- General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) --- Health economics --- Health --- Health: General --- Infrastructure --- Intangible Capital --- International Fiscal Issues --- International Public Goods --- Investment --- Macroeconomics --- Pipelines --- Public finance & taxation --- Public Finance --- Railroads and Other Surface Transportation --- Revenue administration --- Revenue --- Saving and investment --- Structure, Scope, and Performance of Government --- Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) --- Sustainable Development --- Sustainable development --- Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General --- Water Utilities --- Indonesia
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The Covid-19 pandemic has aggravated the tension between large development needs in infrastructure and scarce public resources. To alleviate this tension and promote a strong and job-rich recovery from the crisis, Africa needs to mobilize more financing from and to the private sector.
Public-private sector cooperation --- Infrastructure (Economics) --- Economic development --- South Africa --- Economics: General --- International Economics --- Infrastructure --- Investments: General --- Public Finance --- Macroeconomics --- Sustainable Development --- International Investment --- Long-term Capital Movements --- International Finance: General --- Economic Development: General --- Economic Development: Financial Markets --- Saving and Capital Investment --- Corporate Finance and Governance --- Economywide Country Studies: Africa --- Investment --- Capital --- Intangible Capital --- Capacity --- National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures --- Other Public Investment and Capital Stock --- Aggregate Factor Income Distribution --- Political economy --- International institutions --- Public finance & taxation --- Development economics & emerging economies --- National accounts --- Private investment --- Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP) --- Expenditure --- Income --- Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) --- Development --- Sustainable development --- Saving and investment
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